With TV media reaching every household in India the poll predictions by ‘pundits’ have become very important. The unfortunate part of the analysis is that we see caste still plays a big role in our elections. The Karnataka State Assembly with 224 seats requires 113 to form the government. The seat standings for 2008 was: Congress 80, BJP 110, JD(S) 28, Independents 28.
On May 5, 2013 Karnataka assembly elections will be held. The poll predictions so far,
| Tehelka-C-Voter (January) | Public TV | Chanakya | Suvarna News-CFore (Dec 2012) | CNN-IBN and The Week (April) | CNN-IBN (May) | Mint | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BJP | 55 | 39-49 | 38 | 49-60 | 39-49 | 43-53 | 45-55 |
| Congress | 114 | 119 | 132 | 119-120 | 117-129 | 100-116 | 125-135 |
| JD(S) | 34 | 34-44 | 38 | 34-41 | 34-44 | 43-53 | 30-35 |
| KJP | 11 | 14-22 | 15 | 5-12 | 14-22 | 16-24 | 10-15 |
| Others | 9 | - | - | 10-15 |
- Prabodhan Research Group (April 2013): Congress 95, BJP 81, JD(S) 27, KJP and independents 8 each, BSR-Congress 5.
- Prof. Rajeev Gowda: Congress (115-130), BJP (40-45), JDS (30-35), KJP (15-20), BSR (3-8)
- Headlines Today-C-Voter (March): Congress 114-122, BJP 48-56, JD(S) 32-38, KJP 10-14
What are Political Parties Predicting?
- We will get an absolute majority, claims former CM and KJP leader Yeddyurappa [source tweet & video]
- Congress will get 125 or more seats, says Siddaramaiah [source tweet & video]
- BJP now is confident of “forming the government” [source tweet]
- No predictions from JD(S) yet